These maps show an estimate of the likelihood of earthquake ground motions, based on a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Such analysis incorporates seismic and geologic information to consider the probability of all possible damaging earthquakes, calculates the potential range of ground motions for each potential earthquake, and arrives at a level of ground shaking that has a given probability, using the formulation first developed by Cornell (1968).
Cao, T.C., Bryant, W.A., Rowshandel, B., Branum, D., and Wills, C.J., 2003, The revised 2002 California probabilistic seismic hazard maps, June 2003: California Geological Survey website.
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