The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)

PDF icon Download PDF
Date Published: 
January 2008
Authors: 
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities
U.S. Geological Survey

California’s 35 million people live among some of the most active earthquake faults in the United States. Public safety demands credible assessments of the earthquake hazard to maintain appropriate building codes for safe construction and earthquake insurance for loss protection. Seismic hazard analysis begins with an earthquake rupture forecast—a model of probabilities that earthquakes of specified magnitudes, locations, and faulting types will occur during a specified time interval. This report describes a new earthquake rupture forecast for California developed by the 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2007).

Reference Information: 

WGCEP (Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities), 2008, The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2), USGS Open-File Report 2007- 1437/CGS Special Report 203/SCEC Contribution #1138, Version 1.0.

Cited In: 
GPO
Appendix I

*This PDF document is not Section 508 accessibility compliant. If you require accessibility assistance, please contact us to Request Assistance.

EIS Status Update - March 2019

Screenshot of EIS Status Update document cover

Information on the forthcoming Draft EIS is now available under the ‘EIS Info’ tab. To view the update, click here.

EIS Timeline - Feb 2019

  1. Proponent submits revised Plan of Operations [Sep 2014]
  2. Federal Register Notice of Intent to prepare EIS [Mar 2016]
  3. Public scoping period and scoping meetings
    [5 meetings between Mar-Jun 2016; comment period extended from 60 days to 120 days, closed Jul 18, 2016 ]
  4. Compile and review existing data
  5. Prepare project description and identify project alternatives
  6. Publish Alternatives Evaluation Report [Sep 2017]
  7. We Are Here
    Validate Baseline Information; analyze environmental effects
  8. Prepare Draft EIS
  9. Federal Register Notice of Availability of Draft EIS
  10. 90-day public review and comment period, with public meetings
  11. Respond to public comments and prepare Final EIS
  12. Federal Register Notice of Availability of Final EIS and Draft ROD
  13. 45-day Public Objection Period
  14. Resolve objections to Final EIS and draft ROD
  15. Issue Final Record of Decision

[ View Larger Version ]

Forest Points of Contact

Media & General Info
John Scaggs
jscaggs@fs.fed.us

Project Manager
Resolution Copper
Mary Rasmussen
mcrasmussen@fs.fed.us

Apache Leap Special Management Area
Apache Leap SMA website